DATA ADVISORS POLL

THE numbers say it all.

Board Member Amado Espino III and incumbent Gov. Amado T. Espino, Jr. are poised to score double victories on May 9 amid charges and counter-charges of unprecedented vote-buying operations allegedly being undertaken for the past two weeks by the opposite camps throughout the entire province of Pangasinan.

This was revealed in the latest province-wide survey conducted by the national polling firm Data Advisors from April 28 to May 1, a copy of which was provided The PUNCH, that covered 1,441 respondent-voters with biometrics, interviewed face to face by trained data enumerators in the three component cities and 44 municipalities of Pangasinan.

In the contest for governor, the young Espino polled 69 percent overall while former Rep. Mark Cojuangco tallied 29 percent or a lead of 40 percentage points by Espino over Cojuangco. Teozaldy Salvador earned 1.5 percent and Virgilio Maganes 0.5 percent.

The survey showed Espino ahead in all of the six legislative districts of the province, earning high scores in the Second and Fourth Legislative Districts. Even in the Fifth Legislative District, known bailiwick of the Cojuangcos, Espino polled 66.1 percent while Cojuangco scored 32.1 percent.

For the 5th District contest, incumbent Gov. Espino, Jr. polled 76.6 percent overall. Conversely, incumbent Rep. Carmen Cojuangco earned 23.1 percent overall while Ben Mariñas got 0.3 percentage point.

In the contest for vice governor, incumbent Vice Governor Ferdinand Calimlim polled 64 percent overall while his rival Mark Macanlalay earned 35.1 percent. Both Calimlim and Macanlalay come from the Third District, reason for a “strong” showing in the district by Macanlalay.

It will be recalled that Data Advisors predicted fairly accurately the outcome of the 2013 election contests in the province of Pangasinan for governor, vice governor, board members and district representatives almost to the decimals, and other national and local election contests since 1998. The polling firm is trusted by a long list of clients from General Santos City in the south to Santiago City in the north including clients in Metro Manila. It is the first polling firm in the Philippines to develop the Theoretical Conversion of Votes, a method that could predict the number of votes each would garner in the final tally.

This latest and concluding poll in Pangasinan which was commissioned by a group of Manila-based businessmen was conducted on a confidence level of 98 percent with an error margin of 3 percentage points for the provincial poll and 2.8 percentage points for the district poll in the fifth district. (Leonardo Micua)

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