Espino leads survey 55 days before election

VOX POPULI POLLS

IF the elections were held today, Gov. Amado Espino III will win his reelection handily over his lone challenger, Alaminos City Mayor Arthur Celeste.

This was the indication of the Benchmark Poll on Situational Preferences for Elective Positions in Pangasinan conducted from February 14 to 24 by the Quezon City-based Vox Populi Polls, a research group of Art G. Valenzuela Consultancy.

The polling, conducted in an interview with 1,200 respondents, males and females, from different age groups belonging to D1, D2, ABC and E  socio-eco classes, from three cities and  44 municipalities of Pangasinan.

The results made available to THE PUNCH showed Espino getting 73 percent of the nod of the respondents while Celeste was credited with 23 percent in overall preference.

The poll has a margin of error of 2.3 percent.

When converted into justifiable numbers, this 70-30 ratio would show Espino getting 821,250 of the votes against Celeste’s 303,750 or a margin of 577,500 votes, Vox Populi Polls said.

The poll survey was commissioned by a group of businessmen led by Catjoe Tayag of Angeles, Pampanga ostensibly for studying future capital investments.

 A breakdown of the districts show Espino ahead in five districts, except in the first district considered as Celeste’s bailiwick.

Celeste earned 69 percent to Espino’s 31 percent in the First District.

Preference for Espino in the second district, 68-32; third district, 83-17; fourth district, 87-13; fifth district, 75-25; and sixth district, 91-9.

In the vice gubernatorial race, former Board Member Angel Baniqued Sr. is slightly ahead at 52 percent over his rival Mark Lambino with 48 percent..

 The polling showed Baniqued is ahead 60-40 in the first district, 58-42 in the second district; 67-33 in the third district and 60-40 in the fifth district.

Lambino is ahead, 65-45 in the fourth district and 52-48 in the sixth district.

In the first legislative district, Noli Celeste leads in poll preference with 63 percent, followed by Thomas Orbos, 35 percent and Ernesto Regaspi, 2 percent..

In the second district, Bugallon Mayor Jumel Espino gets 53 percent, while second district Board Member Raul Sison, 44 percent, and Butch Merrera, three percent.

In the third district, Rep. Rosemary Baby Arenas is preferred by 94 percent over Felipe de Vera, former mayor of Calasiao, 4 percent, and Jaime Aquino, 1 percent.

In the fourth district, incumbent Rep. Christopher de Venecia leads with  87 percent, Alvin Fernandez, 12 percent; Redford Erfe Mejia, one percent; and Winky Manaois, zero.

In  the fifth district, Rep. Amado Espino Jr., has 86 percent while Binalonan Mayor Ramon Guico III, 16 percent.

In the sixth district, Tayug Mayor Tyrone Agabas gets 97 percent, Myrna Custodio, three percent. (Leonardo Micua)

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